Snapshot

Highlight

Newsroom

25MAR 2019

Brexit goes into extra time

A critical week in parliament could lead to a change in leadership.

2019

MARCH

08MAR 2019

News releases

ECB’s rate rise delay is likely to hurt banks’ profitability

We now forecast the next interest rate rise will be in March 2020.

FEBRUARY

14FEB 2019

News releases

Germany and Japan avoid recession but weaker global trade bites

Domestic demand improved in both economies at the end of 2018 but trade concerns persist.

07FEB 2019

Insights

India's central bank takes a dovish turn

The central bank has cut interest rates but a pause may have been a more prudent option.

JANUARY

31JAN 2019

Insights

Eurozone growth fails to recover as Italy slips into recession

Snapshot: Leading indicators suggest further weakness to come, but European risk assets are already priced for recession.

31JAN 2019

Insights

The Fed: still the market's flexible friend

Snapshot: The US central bank’s more dovish stance has been welcomed by markets. We forecast another rate rise this year if activity picks up as expected.

16JAN 2019

Insights

Brexit deal defeat triggers huge uncertainty: what next?

Possibility of no deal Brexit is as high as ever, risking a UK recession this year.

2018

DECEMBER

20DEC 2018

Insights

Black Friday bargain hunters boost UK retail sales

UK retail sales beat expectations despite retailers issuing profit warnings, as consumers feel the effects of wage growth acceleration and falling inflation.