Economic views

07FEB 2019

Economics

India's central bank takes a dovish turn

The central bank has cut interest rates but a pause may have been a more prudent option.

01FEB 2019

Economics

US labour market remains robust despite government shutdown

Snapshot: Strong jobs data gives confidence in the US economy but is unlikely to change the Fed’s more dovish tone.

01FEB 2019

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint - February 2019

In our latest update we discuss the degree of pessimism in European equity markets, and explore the prospects for emerging market assets and the economic links between China and Australia.

JANUARY

31JAN 2019

Economics

Eurozone growth fails to recover as Italy slips into recession

Snapshot: Leading indicators suggest further weakness to come, but European risk assets are already priced for recession.

31JAN 2019

Economics

The Fed: still the market's flexible friend

Snapshot: The US central bank’s more dovish stance has been welcomed by markets. We forecast another rate rise this year if activity picks up as expected.

29JAN 2019

Economics

30-year return forecasts: 2019 update

In our latest update of 30-year return forecasts we find that returns on cash are still poor while equities remain the asset class offering the greatest potential for returns.

21JAN 2019

Economics

No immediate relief in sight for China’s slowing economy

Snapshot: Economic growth in China slowed to 6.4% in Q4 2018, and there is potential for further weakness in Q1.

16JAN 2019

Economics

Brexit deal defeat triggers huge uncertainty: what next?

Possibility of no deal Brexit is as high as ever, risking a UK recession this year.

14JAN 2019

Economics

How trade wars have affected emerging market returns

Snapshot: We illustrate how trade concerns influenced emerging markets equity returns in 2018, and discuss the prospect of a rebound this year.

09JAN 2019

Global Market Perspective

Q1 2019

Our latest economic and asset allocation views include a review of a turbulent year for markets, a look ahead to key themes for 2019, and a note on investment implications as the US cycle approaches the slowdown phase.