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Economics

18MAR 2019

Infographic: A view of the world economy in March 2019

In this month's infographic, we raise our growth forecasts for 2020 but downgrade them for 2019 as we illustrate the near-term issues dragging on the economy.

2019

FEBRUARY

14FEB 2019

Economics

Germany and Japan avoid recession but weaker global trade bites

Domestic demand improved in both economies at the end of 2018 but trade concerns persist.

11FEB 2019

Economics

Brexit uncertainty weighs on UK GDP growth

The weak growth figures point to risk of recession this year.

JANUARY

31JAN 2019

Economics

Eurozone growth fails to recover as Italy slips into recession

Snapshot: Leading indicators suggest further weakness to come, but European risk assets are already priced for recession.

23JAN 2019

Economics

Three themes for 2019 - and some black swans

We discuss three themes that will shape market performance in the coming year, as well as four events that could take investors by surprise.

2018

DECEMBER

05DEC 2018

Economics

Outlook 2019: Global economy

We forecast global growth to slow in 2019 and the dollar looks set to weaken with US interest rates peaking mid-year.

NOVEMBER

12NOV 2018

Economics

Should other countries take a leaf out of Trump's economic playbook?

With growth outside the US faltering, we expect governments around the world to take a leaf out of Trump’s playbook and use tax and spending measures to support their economies.

09NOV 2018

Economics

World Cup spending spree temporarily boosts UK economy

Although third quarter GDP data was strong, the UK economy flat-lined in August and September. We expect a very weak end to 2018.