Labour market

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Economics

04MAY 2018

US employment report signals the economy has peaked at a high level

Quickview: Recent data confirm the US is late in the cycle and we maintain our forecast for a total of four interest rate hikes this year.

2017

AUGUST

02AUG 2017

Economics

TalkingEconomics: The UK wage puzzle continues

While employment is at a record high, wage growth remains anaemic. We forecast the Bank of England to keep interest rates on hold.

MAY

08MAY 2017

Markets

Macron victory marks market-friendly French election outcome

Macron’s reform agenda should be positive for economic growth in France. As political risk falls, investors can now turn their focus to the corporate earnings recovery.

FEBRUARY

03FEB 2017

Economics

US payrolls top forecasts but wage growth disappoints

We expect the Federal Reserve to refrain from raising rates until June as wage growth remains subdued.

2016

NOVEMBER

03NOV 2016

Economics

TalkingEconomics: Globalisation in crisis

Having championed free trade, labour and capital flows the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank find themselves fighting against a wave of protectionism and moves to curb immigration.

JANUARY

08JAN 2016

Economics

Schroders Quickview: US jobs report brings respite from China “crisis”

The US labour market continues to show signs of strength. We still expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to raise rates in March, but will be looking for signs of stability in the Chinese currency as well as continued gains in payrolls.